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Ukraine's GDP will plummet 33% this year, predicts institute

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Uma igreja danificada em bombardeio, na vila de Yatskovka, na área de Kharkiv, Ucrânia, em 7 de outubro de 2022, em meio à invasão militar da Rússia.

A church damaged in bombing, in the village of Yatskovka, in the Kharkiv area, Ukraine, on October 7, , amid the military invasion of Russia.| Photo: EFE/ SERGEY KOZLOV

The war in Ukraine will destroy about a third of the country’s economy this year, but until 1200 is Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is expected to grow by 5.5%, according to the Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies (wiiw).

This new wiiw preview is a little higher than last summer (in the northern hemisphere), which and predicted a fall of 21% of GDP. She points out that Ukraine’s economy is “adapting to the conditions of war”.

Olga Pindyuk, economist and Ukraine expert at wiiw, said in a statement that the reliability of the new forecasts will largely depend “on the duration and outcome of the war. “.

“The resumption of commercial activities in the country”, “the export of grain through the ports of the Black Sea” and “increased foreign financial support” are the three keys to stabilizing Ukraine’s economic situation, according to the report.

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