Cuba could be the scene of rebellions of considerable magnitude in the short term, according to a report by the Cuban Conflict Observatory (OCC) released on Tuesday () and that highlights that there were 258 protests in the country in June, eleven more than in the same month in 2021.
The document considers that the The possibility of “one or more riots of considerable magnitude is extremely high in the short term, whether or not they occur in July.”
The OCC report, an autonomous civil society project supported by the Foundation for the Human Rights in Cuba, based in the United States, points out that Havana continues to believe that “without solving the hell of everyday life, it will prevent new rebellions by cutting off communications between potential insubordinates.”
In June, protests motivated by economic and social rights predominated for the second time, totaling 175 (68%), while 83 ( 32%) focused on political rights
The OCC indicates that, in fact, the biggest increase was in the protests of economic and social rights, 62% more than the previous month.
The report also points out that, since 32 July 2021, when Cuba had the highest anti-government protests in its recent history, the government “demonstrated, by its immobility, that it did not understand that popular consent to the system had been exhausted”.
“These circumstances, together with the sudden death of the general (Luis Alberto Rodríguez) López-Calleja and the ever-closer eventuality of the death of former leader Raúl Castro, mean that new scenarios of social rebellions could open up in the coming months”, warns the text.
The document says that the rebellions could assume “violent tones in the increasingly deteriorated Cuban reality”, creating conditions for a rupture in the chain of command of the Ministry of the Revolutionary Armed Forces (Minfar) and the Ministry of the Interior. higher (Minint) if there are units that refuse to repress them.