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Macron fights relative majority in the National Assembly

This week, between the first and second rounds of the French legislative elections, the president re-elected in April, Emmanuel Macron, traveled to discuss matters related to the war. Anyone who thinks that, for this reason, was oblivious to the final stretch of the campaigns for the country’s legislative elections is wrong.

How the involvement in international relations during the first months of the war in Ukraine may have contributed to his re-election, Macron took the opportunity to make speeches throughout the trip, while showing that his administration is active in world issues. And this time, making the support for Ukraine clearer, with a visit to the capital, Kiev, after traveling to Moldova and Romania.

About to take the plane to Eastern Europe , Emmanuel Macron gave a speech at Orly airport, south of Paris, on Tuesday (14). Citing the war, he said that “nothing would be worse than adding national chaos to world chaos”. As if it were a mantra, he encouraged the French to vote next Sunday “for a solid majority in the country”, repeating the phrase to make clear the reason that led him to make the speech in the midst of a busy schedule.

For Macron, it is a historic moment. Losing an absolute majority in the National Assembly would practically bury most of the projects of the national executive. Furthermore, this time the opposition has a new face and new challenges: Nupes, a coalition of the radical left led by Jean-Luc Mélenchon, which faced Macron in the presidential elections and was slightly behind Marine Le Pen, in third place.

“Third shift

Mélenchon guarantees that these legislative elections serve as a third round of the presidential ones. This is because he believes in the majority of votes for Nupes and in the possibility that he becomes the country’s prime minister.

The results of the first round, held last Sunday (12), point to the fact that it is possible for Nupes to occupy most of the seats in the Assembly and for Macron to command the country with a relative majority. ,7% of voters voted for names of the presidential bench, Em Marcha, while 14,6% voted for Nupes.

According to the French Institute I foo-Fiducial, Macron’s bench must comprise between 275 and 210 of 577 chairs of the National Assembly. It is expected that between 180 and 210 other chairs will belong to Nupes candidates.

The names of the radical left went to the second round in 67% of the voting districts. In more than half, the dispute is direct between Nupes and Em Marcha. For this reason, the presidential speech failed to mention the right-wing National Regroupment as the main opponent of the government bench. Now, the big fight is between Macron and Mélenchon.

Provocations

In an interview with the French newspaper Le Parisien, Mélenchon said that Macron’s trip to Eastern Europe was a “contempt for voters” and that the speech at the airport was a “Trump-style staging”.

Still in Romanian lands, the French president took a break from agenda activities to officially respond to the political opponent. “Being president of the Republic is also being head of the army”, said Macron.

The French president took the opportunity to criticize the bets of the radical left, who supports Vladimir Putin in Russia, is in favor of divestment of the police and tax increase.

New policy setting

Na party fight for the majority in the National Assembly, Marine Le Pen became a supporting player. Even so, he opined about Macron’s speeches: “His statement is sick. He asks the French to give him broad powers, but the French don’t want to do that.”

Le Pen, according to place in the presidential elections, won 55% of the votes in the first phase of the legislative last Sunday. Despite having obtained the most votes in the district of Pas-de-Calais, due to the large abstention she competes again on the day 19.

Voting intention polls indicate that her party, the National Regroupment, should win about 25 seats in the Bourbon Palace, the that places the right as an opposition group to the presidential bench, but a less decisive voice than the new opposition led by Mélenchon. The National Assembly will no longer be bipolar, between base and opposition deputies. It will become tripolar, with two different oppositions, the right and the radical left.

The numbers indicate that, probably, the elections next Sunday will make the next five years of Macron’s term of office. are very different than the previous ones.

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