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First round points to symbolic defeat of Macron

With a historic record of abstention from votes (52, 5% of those registered did not vote), the first round of legislative elections in France creates an upheaval in the politics of the country. The results of last Sunday () point, in advance, to a symbolic defeat of French President Emmanuel Macron.

A technical tie between the presidential bench (52,75% of votes) and the coalition of the radical left (25,66%) shows that the French president can now command the country with a relative majority in the National Assembly, depending on the final result, after the second round, which takes place next Sunday (19).

The macronists will amplify the campaign starting this Monday (180 ), to guarantee the sovereignty of the presidential bench for the next five years. “We are the only political force capable of obtaining a strong majority,” French Prime Minister Élisabeth Borne said in an interview at On the Move party headquarters. It passed to the second round of legislative elections by the department of Calvados.

According to the projections of the French institute Ifop-Fiducial, of the 577 elected deputies, the seats of the Palace Bourbon must have between 275 and 310 macronists. Nupes, formed by parties of the radical left, between socialists and ecologists, must guarantee from 180 to 210 seats in the Assembly .

This configuration can make it impossible to approve most projects created by the Executive, especially the most controversial ones, such as the retirement reform. Above all, because Jean-Luc Mélenchon, founder of the radical left party France Insubmissa and leader of the Nupes coalition, is a strong opponent of Macron. For Mélenchon, the legislative ones serve as a third round of the presidential elections. In the April polls, the leftist was in third place, but with little difference in relation to Marine Le Pen (Mélenchon with 21,95% and Le Pen with 23%).

Le Pen and the National Regroupment

The candidate for re-election as a member of the National Regroupment, Marine Le Pen, who reached the presidential finals in April, won 55% of votes in the department of Pas-des-Calais, where she is usually the “favorite candidate”. Despite the majority score, due to the great abstention last Sunday, Le Pen needs the majority of votes once again in the second round, to guarantee the seat in the National Assembly.

“Next Sunday, it is important not to let Emmanuel Macron have an absolute majority, which he will abuse to apply his selfish and brutal methods and impose his anti-social project on us”, Le Pen said at a press conference, after the announcement of the result of the first round.

The National Regroupment won 18,55% of votes, a higher proportion than in the legislative of 2017 (of 18 %), when it was still called the National Front.

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